Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.009960 0.011980 0.014494 0.017925 0.022602 0.028947 0.038565
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.007437 0.009698 0.012873 0.017890 0.026116 0.040175 0.069249
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.006068 0.008306 0.011697 0.017604 0.028665 0.051425 0.114441
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.005002 0.007055 0.010315 0.016368 0.028798 0.058200 0.163001
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004311 0.006229 0.009396 0.015600 0.029419 0.066721 0.241489
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003886 0.005746 0.008936 0.015535 0.031541 0.081661 0.418705
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003615 0.005472 0.008781 0.016025 0.035312 0.107329 0.935926
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003340 0.005148 0.008467 0.016070 0.037961 0.133941 2.268367
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003037 0.004734 0.007912 0.015414 0.038190 0.150458 4.989174
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002815 0.004442 0.007553 0.015138 0.039581 0.178150 20.220039
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002712 0.004356 0.007596 0.015891 0.045202 0.256081 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002627 0.004294 0.007677 0.016772 0.052212 0.392093 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002534 0.004225 0.007778 0.017908 0.062564 0.723686 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002373 0.004005 0.007511 0.017891 0.067649 1.121216 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002217 0.003778 0.007190 0.017606 0.071168 1.691374 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002029 0.003468 0.006629 0.016370 0.067582 1.824517 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001885 0.003236 0.006232 0.015601 0.066684 2.260329 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001790 0.003100 0.006049 0.015536 0.070946 4.009602 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001730 0.003031 0.006022 0.016027 0.080586 12.856907 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001656 0.002925 0.005886 0.016072 0.086928 49.803830 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001559 0.002764 0.005589 0.015416 0.085857 108.707321 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001486 0.002647 0.005398 0.015140 0.088609 1412.509132 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001457 0.002625 0.005453 0.015893 0.104825 NaN NaN